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Registration Type Contractor Address City-State Phone Email Backflow (BF) TERRY, DANIEL 115 Carpenter Loop BONHAM,TX 75418 (214) 783-5028 dterry@txfs.us. ResumeMatch - Sample Resume, Resume Template, Resume Example, Resume Builder,Resume linkedin,Resume Grade,File Convert. Cover Letter for Jobs. Just Distorted, a $400,000 yearling by Distorted Humor also has displayed very good speed in the a.m. While preparing for her debut and is a “must use” in rolling exotic play. Wong barn hits at an exceptional 23% with first-timers while producing a significant flat-bet profit so this very well-regarded filly seems very likely to be. Two Sluts With Tattos Take On Huge Black Cocks Daylene Rio - I Got The Hots For Miss Rio Juicy hentai pussy licked clean by hungry customer Hot compilation with sexy girls getting fucked brutally Classy blonde wearing satin gloves fucked in POV Those are transparent Czech streets Czech angels are willing with do completely wholeness for cash.3.11.2021:Rebel Stakes Selections, Plus Derby Strikes Return
By Jon White Vera&john withdrawal times.Lucky’s Play Barn Stokesley Prices
With my selections for Xpressbet.com last week, I tried to beat the favorite in both the Grade II Tampa Bay Derby and Grade III Gotham Stakes. I was vindicated in my approach when the favorite did not win either race. But, darn it, my top pick also did not win.Highly Motivated was sent away as the 8-5 favorite in last Saturday’s Tampa Bay Derby. He finished 11th in the field of 12. My top pick, Hidden Stash, ran second at 3-1. Helium won in a 15-1 upset.Freedom Fighter was favored in last Saturday’s Gotham at slightly less than even money. He finished third in the field of eight. My top pick, Freedom Fighter, ran fourth at 2-1. Weyburn was victorious in a 46-1 shocker while making his first 2021 start. Crowded Trade, coming off a maiden win at first asking, lost by a scant nose at 5-1.Weyburn and Crowded Trade showed up in the Gotham only after an allowance race that had been preferred for them failed to fill.Life Is Good was my top pick in last Saturday’s Grade II San Felipe Stakes at Santa Anita. He won by eight lengths as the 1-2 favorite.In late January, I began making selections for Xpressbet.com in terms of this country’s races offering points toward a starting berth in the Grade I, $3 million Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 1.Of the 12 such races, I have picked the winner in seven of them, as noted below:Date Race (Selection) Finish, $2 win payoff if applicable01-30-21 Holy Bull (Greatest Honour) WON, $7.6001-30-21 Robert B. Lewis (Medina Spirit), WON, $4.0002-06-21 Sam F. Davis (Candy Man Rocket), WON, $8.2002-06-21 Withers (Donegal Bay), finished 7th02-13-21 Risen Star (Senor Buscador), finished 5th02-13-21 El Camino Real Derby (Rombauer), WON, $4.4002-26-21 Battaglia Memorial (Gretzky the Great), finished 3rd02-27-21 Southwest (Essential Quality), WON, $3.8002-27-21 Fountain of Youth (Greatest Honor), WON, $4.0003-06-21 Gotham (Freedom Fighter), finished 4th03-06-21 Tampa Bay Derby (Hidden Stash), finished 2nd03-06-21 Life Is Good, WON, $3.00There is just one race this Saturday offering Kentucky Derby points. It is the Grade II, $1 million Rebel Stakes at Oaklawn Park, which will reward the first four finishers with 50-20-10-5 points toward the 1 1/4-mile Run for the Roses.REBEL HAS ATTRACTED FIELD OF EIGHTMy selections for the 1 1/16-mile Rebel are below:1. Concert Tour2. Caddo River3. Keepmeinmind4. HozierCaddo River ranks No. 4 on my Kentucky Derby Top 10 this week. Concert Tour is No. 6. Keepmeinmind is No. Tradevest no deposit bonus deposit. 9.Eight are scheduled to do battle in the Rebel. Concert Tour goes into the race for trainer Bob Baffert quite similarly to the Baffert-trained Nadal last year.Nadal won a six-furlong maiden race by 3 3/4 lengths as a 6-5 favorite last year on Jan. 19 at Santa Anita in his first career start. The Kentucky-bred Blame colt then won the seven-furlong San Vicente Stakes by three-quarters of a length when shown on the tote board to be a 2-5 favorite on Feb. 9.Concert Tour won a 6 1/2-furlong maiden race by 3 1/2 lengths as an even-money favorite on Jan. 15 in his first career start. The Kentucky-bred Street Sense colt then won the San Vicente by a half-length as a 2-5 favorite.After last year’s San Vicente, Baffert sent Nadal to Oaklawn for the Rebel. Nadal won the Rebel on a sloppy track by three-quarters of a length.Following this year’s San Vicente, Baffert has sent Concert Tour to Oaklawn for the Rebel.In his final recorded workout prior to the Rebel, Nadal was clocked in a bullet :59.60 for five furlongs. It was the best of 58 works at that distance on Santa Anita’s main track that morning.In Concert Tour’s final recorded workout before the Rebel, he was timed in a bullet 1:11.40 for six furlongs. It was the best of 11 works at the distance on Santa Anita’s main track that morning.I picked Nadal to win the 2020 Rebel. He did not let me down. Concert Tour is my top pick in the 2021 Rebel. We shall see if he comes through or he lets me down.I have the utmost respect for Caddo River, as evidenced by the fact that I currently have him ranked higher than Concert Tour on my Kentucky Derby Top 10.Trained by Brad Cox, Caddo River lost his first two races. The Kentucky-bred Hard Spun colt then won a one-mile maiden race by 9 1/2 lengths at Churchill Downs on Nov. 15, followed by a 10 1/4-length victory in Oaklawn Park’s one-mile Smarty Jones Stakes on Jan. 22.Keepmeinmind certainly is a Rebel entrant to keep in mind. As a maiden, he finished second in the Grade I Breeders’ Futurity last Oct. 3 and third in the Grade I Breeders’ Cup Juvenile on Nov. 6. Essential Quality won both races en route to being voted an Eclipse Award as champion 2-year-old male of 2020.In Keepmeinmind’s final 2020 start, he earned his maiden diploma by winning the Grade II Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes at Keeneland for trainer Robertino Diodoro.Baffert had hoped to run Hozier in an allowance race at Santa Anita. When that race didn’t fill, Baffert decided to have him join Concert Tour in the Rebel.Will Hozier be like Weyburn and Crowded Trade and finish first or second in a graded stakes race when running in that after an allowance race failed to fill?Hozier was unveiled at Santa Anita on Jan. 15. He finished fourth, 15 lengths behind Concert Tour. Hozier then showed dramatic improvement to win a 1 1/16-mile allowance race by 1 3/4 lengths at Santa Anita on Feb. 15.Hozier worked four furlongs in a bullet :47.40 last Saturday. It was the fastest of 58 works at that distance on Santa Anita’s main track that morning.LIFE IS GOOD NEW NO. 1 ON MY DERBY TOP 10Life Is Good moves into the top spot on my Kentucky Derby Top 10 this week following last Saturday’s 1 1/16-mile San Felipe Stakes at Santa Anita in which he won by a sizable margin and received a marvelous Beyer Speed Figure.My Kentucky Derby Top 10 for this week is below:1. Life Is Good2. Essential Quality3. Greatest Honour4. Caddo River5. Mandaloun6. Concert Tour7. Medina Spirit8. Hot Rod Charlie9. Keepmeinmind10. SpielbergAfter Life Is Good kicked off his racing career with a 9 1/2-length victory at Del Mar last Nov. 27, some wondered if he also would be able to win going farther.In his next start, Life Is Good did indeed succeed going farther. He won Santa Anita’s one-mile Sham Stakes by three-quarters of a length on Jan. 2. But the smaller margin of victory led some to wonder if going farther than one mile would prove to be a problem for the Kentucky-bred Into Mischief colt.Last Saturday, Life Is Good demonstrated that 1 1/16 miles is not even close to being a limit for him in terms of distance. Annihilating his foes in the 1 1/16-mile San Felipe Stakes, he won by eight lengths.“Life Is Good, breaking from the rail, used his natural speed to open a clear lead into the first turn, and his six rivals never had a chance,” Daily Racing Form’s Jay Privman wrote. “He drew clear through the lane while drifting out, yet still stopped the timer in 1:42.18 for 1 1/16 miles, a time that compares favorably with the 1:43.86 recorded by his older stablemate, Mastering, when winning an allowance race earlier on the card on the fast main track.”The fractions were :23.63, :46.83, 1:10.55 and 1:35.46. Secretariat.com’s Steve Haskin pointed out that even though Life Is Good “was on cruise control, he still went the three-quarters in 1:10 2/5, which was two full seconds than [older horses] ran in the Big ’Cap” on the same card. The six-furlong fraction in the 1 1/4-mile Santa Anita Handicap was 1:12.26.“What was noteworthy about this race was that he was setting quick fractions while seemingly doing it under control, not acting like a runaway freight train as in his debut or his similarly headstrong effort in the Sham,” Privman also wrote regarding Life Is Good’s San Felipe. “In the two months since the Sham, Life Is Good has been trained to not blast off.”Life Is Good and Hall of Fame jockey Mike Smith drifted all the way out to about the 10 path during the stretch run of the San Felipe. How dominant was Life Is Good? Smith speculated that if the colt had run straight, he might have won by 15.Nevertheless, any way you slice it, drifting out that much in the stretch is not a good thing. Smith attributed the drifting to Life Is Good seeing the big screen in the infield, which is not on when he trains in the morning. Life Is Good has never exhibited such behavior in the a.m. Jockey-turned-television broadcaster Richard Migliore said that if seeing the big screen was indeed responsible for Life Is Good drifting out, then why did he continue to drift out well after he had gone past the big screen?One person who does not seem concerned that Life Is Good didn’t run straight down the lane last Saturday is Baffert. Even before the race, according to Baffert, the supremely talented 3-year-old did not exactly act like a seasoned pro. While Life Is Good was on his way to the paddock, he balked at first when he saw a bunch of people.Baffert is quick to remind everyone that Authentic acted very greenly early on in his career. When Authentic won the Sham by 7 3/4 lengths, he ran such an erratic course down the lane that he nearly hit the inside rail at one point. But by the end of the year, Authentic had won the Grade I Kentucky Derby and Grade I Breeders’ Cup Classic. Not only was he voted an Eclipse Award as champion 3-year-old male, he was elected 2020 Horse of the Year.In Life Is Good’s first two stakes races, he has run quite a bit faster than Authentic did in the same two races.Authentic’s final time in the one-mile Sham was 1:37.57. Life Is Good completed the distance in 1:36.63.When Authentic won the San Felipe by 2 1/2 lengths, his final time for 1 1/16 miles was 1:43.56. Life Is Good stepped the distance in 1:42.18.Authentic received a 90 Beyer in the Sham, a 98 in the San Felipe.Life Is Good was credited with a 101 Beyer in the Sham, a 107 in the San Felipe. Those are the two-highest Beyers posted by a 3-year-old so far in 2021.Below are the eight-best Beyer Speed Figures recorded this year by a 3-year-old, male or female:Beyer Winner (Finish, Race, Track, Date)107 Life Is Good (won San Felipe at Santa Anita on March 6)101 Life Is Good (won Sham at Santa Anita on Jan. 2)99 Medina Spirit (2nd Sham at Santa Anita on Jan. 2)98 Mandaloun (won Risen Star at Fair Grounds on Feb. 13)97 Proxy (2nd Risen Star at Fair Grounds on Feb. 13)96 Dream Shake (won maiden race at Santa Anita on Feb. 7)96 Midnight Bourbon (3rd Risen Star at Fair Grounds on Feb. 13)96 Essential Quality (won Southwest at Oaklawn on Feb. 27)LIFE IS GOOD FAVORED AGAIN IN FUTURE WAGERIn Pool 1 of the 2021 Kentucky Derby Future Wager (KDFW), which closed on Nov. 29, Life Is Good was the 5-1 favorite among the 22 individual horses. Essential Quality was the second choice at 8-1.In Pool 2 of the KDFW, which closed on Jan. 24, Life Is Good was the 7-1 favorite among the 23 individual horses. Essential Quality again was the 8-1 second choice.In Pool 3 of the KDFW, which closed on Feb. 14, Life Is Good again was the 7-1 favorite and Essential Quality the 8-1 second choice among the 23 individual horses.In Pool 4 of the KDFW, which closed last Sunday, Life Is Good was hammered down to 2-1 favoritism after his lopsided San Felipe triumph. Essential Quality was the 5-1 second choice.Below are the final odds for Pool 4 of the 2021 KDFW:2-1 Life Is Good5-1 Essential Quality6-1 Greatest Honour7-1 “All Other 3-Year-Old Males”16-1 Caddo River17-1 Concert Tour17-1 Mandaloun29-1 Collaborate29-1 Prevalence30-1 Keepmeinmind36-1 Highly Motivated39-1 Medina Spirit41-1 Proxy42-1 Risk Taking52-1 Midnight Bourbon53-1 Hot Rod Charlie63-1 Spielberg71-1 Candy Man Rocket71-1 Dream Shake79-1 The Great One84-1 Freedom Fighter94-1 Roman Centurian109-1 Rombauer146-1 Hush of a StormTHIS WEEK’S NTRA POLLSIdol moved onto the Top 10 at No. 4 in this week’s NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll following his win in last Saturday’s Grade I Santa Anita Handicap. Next-to-last early in the field of seven, he rallied to prevail by a half-length at odds of 5-1. It was his first stakes victory. Joel Rosario rode the 4-year-old Kentucky-bred Curlin colt for trainer Richard Baltas.Baltas was emotional after the race in that he has an appreciation for the rich history of the Santa Anita Handicap, a race he has fond memories of witnessing as a teenager in the 1970s. He especially recalls watching Vigors, “The White Tornado,” storm to a come-from-behind win in the 1978 Big ’Cap.The Top 10 in this week’s NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll:Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)1. 370 Charlatan (24)2. 343 Monomoy Girl (14)3. 291 Knicks Go4. 175 Idol5. 150 Mystic Guide (1)6. 148 Swiss Skydiver7. 147 Maxfield8. 137 Colonel Liam9. 78 Gamine10. 51 Jesus’ TeamThe Top 10 in this week’s NTRA Top 3-Year-Old Poll:Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)1. 369 Essential Quality (20)2. 360 Life Is Good (17)3. 293 Greatest Honour (1)4. 240 Mandaloun (1)5. 174 Medina Spirit6. 158 Caddo River7. 123 Concert Tour8. 87 Keepmeinmind9. 72 Helium10. 65 Risk TakingMY DERBY STRIKES RETURN!After a one-year hiatus due to the COVID-19 pandemic, my Derby Strikes System is back in 2021.I developed my Derby Strikes System back in 1999. This system at that time consisted of nine categories. When a horse did not qualify in one of the nine categories, the horse received a strike.Various “rules” for the Kentucky Derby once were very popular. A “Derby rule” meant a horse needed to have done this or that, or not done this or that, in order to win the Run for the Roses. However, through the years, many of the “Derby rules” were broken. This caused their popularity to wane.I think what has distinguished my Derby Strikes System from any single “Derby rule” is the Derby Strikes System is considerably more comprehensive. The Derby Strikes System is an amalgamation of factors that attempts to ascertain the chances a horse has to win the Kentucky Derby from BOTH tactical and historical perspectives. It is the marriage of the TACTICAL with the HISTORICAL that might well make the strikes system better than a “Derby rule,” per se.A number of the categories in the Derby Strikes System are tied to a Kentucky Derby being run on the first Saturday in May. As a result, when the race last year was switched from May 2 to Sept. 5 due to COVID-19, it rendered the Derby Strikes System unworkable.But now that the Kentucky Derby is returning to the first Saturday in May, the Derby Strikes System likewise returns.DERBY STRIKES SYSTEM REVAMPED FOR 2021Because the Derby Strikes System, as it was originally constructed back in 1999, seemed to work well through the years, I resisted making any changes to it. One reason for my reluctance to tinker with it is what happened with the Dosage Index.“The Dosage Index is a mathematical figure used by breeders of Thoroughbred racehorses, and sometimes by bettors handicapping races, to quantify a horse’s ability, or inability, to negotiate the various distances at which horse races are run,” according to Wikipedia. “It is calculated based on an analysis of the horse’s pedigree.”I spent part of 1981 working as an editor/handicapper in the Los Angeles office of the Daily Racing Form. My “post position” in that office was not far from the desk of breeding expert Leon Rasmussen.The Dosage Index, again quoting from Wikipedia, “attracted little interest from the general public until 1981, when Daily Racing Form breeding columnist Leon Rasmussen published a new version of Dosage developed by an American scientist and horse owner, Steven A. Roman, Ph.D., in his analysis of the upcoming Kentucky Derby for that year. The new approach, which was more accessible to owners, breeders and handicappers was supported by solid statistical data, rapidly caught on, and the term ‘Dosage Index’ has been a fixture in the lexicon of horse racing ever since. The details of Dosage methodology have been summarized in Dr. Roman’s book entitled ‘Dosage: Pedigree & Performance’ published in 2002.”The Dosage Index is compiled by noting the presence of certain influential sires, known as chefs-de-race, in the first four generations of a horse’s pedigree. Based on what distances the progeny of the sires so designated excelled in during their racing careers, each chef-de-race is placed in one or two of the following categories, or aptitudinal groups: Brilliant, Intermediate, Classic, Solid or Professional.In the 1980s, a horse’s Dosage Index became a big deal in the lead-up to the Kentucky Derby. It needed to be 4.00 or lower. That’s because retroactive research conducted when the Dosage Index first become popular in 1981 revealed that no horse at that time having a Dosage Index higher than 4.00 had won the Kentucky Derby since 1929 (a year chosen because by then the number of available chefs-de-race on which to base the figures was thought to have reached a critical mass).But then the Dosage Index took a major hit in the credibility department in 1991. When Strike the Gold won the Kentucky Derby, his Dosage Index was 9.00. Alydar, who had not been standing at stud all that long, had not yet been accorded chef-de-race status by Dr. Roman. That was the primary reason Strike the Gold’s Dosage Index was so high at the time that he won the roses.If having a Kentucky Derby winner with a Dosage Index so much higher than 4.00 wasn’t bad enough, when Alydar subsequently -- and appropriately -- was made a chef-de-race, it significantly lowered Strike the Gold’s Dosage Index. Pedigreequery.com lists a horse’s Dosage Index in addition to his or her pedigree. If you go to that website, you will see that Strike the Gold’s Dosage Index (or DI) currently is listed as 2.60.Dosage critics howled that Strike the Gold’s Dosage Index was retroactively lowered from 9.00 to 2.60 in order to keep Dosage relevant vis-a-vis the Kentucky Derby.“Alydar was eventually designated a Classic chef-de-race because of the continuing success of h
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Registration Type Contractor Address City-State Phone Email Backflow (BF) TERRY, DANIEL 115 Carpenter Loop BONHAM,TX 75418 (214) 783-5028 dterry@txfs.us. ResumeMatch - Sample Resume, Resume Template, Resume Example, Resume Builder,Resume linkedin,Resume Grade,File Convert. Cover Letter for Jobs. Just Distorted, a $400,000 yearling by Distorted Humor also has displayed very good speed in the a.m. While preparing for her debut and is a “must use” in rolling exotic play. Wong barn hits at an exceptional 23% with first-timers while producing a significant flat-bet profit so this very well-regarded filly seems very likely to be. Two Sluts With Tattos Take On Huge Black Cocks Daylene Rio - I Got The Hots For Miss Rio Juicy hentai pussy licked clean by hungry customer Hot compilation with sexy girls getting fucked brutally Classy blonde wearing satin gloves fucked in POV Those are transparent Czech streets Czech angels are willing with do completely wholeness for cash.3.11.2021:Rebel Stakes Selections, Plus Derby Strikes Return
By Jon White Vera&john withdrawal times.Lucky’s Play Barn Stokesley Prices
With my selections for Xpressbet.com last week, I tried to beat the favorite in both the Grade II Tampa Bay Derby and Grade III Gotham Stakes. I was vindicated in my approach when the favorite did not win either race. But, darn it, my top pick also did not win.Highly Motivated was sent away as the 8-5 favorite in last Saturday’s Tampa Bay Derby. He finished 11th in the field of 12. My top pick, Hidden Stash, ran second at 3-1. Helium won in a 15-1 upset.Freedom Fighter was favored in last Saturday’s Gotham at slightly less than even money. He finished third in the field of eight. My top pick, Freedom Fighter, ran fourth at 2-1. Weyburn was victorious in a 46-1 shocker while making his first 2021 start. Crowded Trade, coming off a maiden win at first asking, lost by a scant nose at 5-1.Weyburn and Crowded Trade showed up in the Gotham only after an allowance race that had been preferred for them failed to fill.Life Is Good was my top pick in last Saturday’s Grade II San Felipe Stakes at Santa Anita. He won by eight lengths as the 1-2 favorite.In late January, I began making selections for Xpressbet.com in terms of this country’s races offering points toward a starting berth in the Grade I, $3 million Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 1.Of the 12 such races, I have picked the winner in seven of them, as noted below:Date Race (Selection) Finish, $2 win payoff if applicable01-30-21 Holy Bull (Greatest Honour) WON, $7.6001-30-21 Robert B. Lewis (Medina Spirit), WON, $4.0002-06-21 Sam F. Davis (Candy Man Rocket), WON, $8.2002-06-21 Withers (Donegal Bay), finished 7th02-13-21 Risen Star (Senor Buscador), finished 5th02-13-21 El Camino Real Derby (Rombauer), WON, $4.4002-26-21 Battaglia Memorial (Gretzky the Great), finished 3rd02-27-21 Southwest (Essential Quality), WON, $3.8002-27-21 Fountain of Youth (Greatest Honor), WON, $4.0003-06-21 Gotham (Freedom Fighter), finished 4th03-06-21 Tampa Bay Derby (Hidden Stash), finished 2nd03-06-21 Life Is Good, WON, $3.00There is just one race this Saturday offering Kentucky Derby points. It is the Grade II, $1 million Rebel Stakes at Oaklawn Park, which will reward the first four finishers with 50-20-10-5 points toward the 1 1/4-mile Run for the Roses.REBEL HAS ATTRACTED FIELD OF EIGHTMy selections for the 1 1/16-mile Rebel are below:1. Concert Tour2. Caddo River3. Keepmeinmind4. HozierCaddo River ranks No. 4 on my Kentucky Derby Top 10 this week. Concert Tour is No. 6. Keepmeinmind is No. Tradevest no deposit bonus deposit. 9.Eight are scheduled to do battle in the Rebel. Concert Tour goes into the race for trainer Bob Baffert quite similarly to the Baffert-trained Nadal last year.Nadal won a six-furlong maiden race by 3 3/4 lengths as a 6-5 favorite last year on Jan. 19 at Santa Anita in his first career start. The Kentucky-bred Blame colt then won the seven-furlong San Vicente Stakes by three-quarters of a length when shown on the tote board to be a 2-5 favorite on Feb. 9.Concert Tour won a 6 1/2-furlong maiden race by 3 1/2 lengths as an even-money favorite on Jan. 15 in his first career start. The Kentucky-bred Street Sense colt then won the San Vicente by a half-length as a 2-5 favorite.After last year’s San Vicente, Baffert sent Nadal to Oaklawn for the Rebel. Nadal won the Rebel on a sloppy track by three-quarters of a length.Following this year’s San Vicente, Baffert has sent Concert Tour to Oaklawn for the Rebel.In his final recorded workout prior to the Rebel, Nadal was clocked in a bullet :59.60 for five furlongs. It was the best of 58 works at that distance on Santa Anita’s main track that morning.In Concert Tour’s final recorded workout before the Rebel, he was timed in a bullet 1:11.40 for six furlongs. It was the best of 11 works at the distance on Santa Anita’s main track that morning.I picked Nadal to win the 2020 Rebel. He did not let me down. Concert Tour is my top pick in the 2021 Rebel. We shall see if he comes through or he lets me down.I have the utmost respect for Caddo River, as evidenced by the fact that I currently have him ranked higher than Concert Tour on my Kentucky Derby Top 10.Trained by Brad Cox, Caddo River lost his first two races. The Kentucky-bred Hard Spun colt then won a one-mile maiden race by 9 1/2 lengths at Churchill Downs on Nov. 15, followed by a 10 1/4-length victory in Oaklawn Park’s one-mile Smarty Jones Stakes on Jan. 22.Keepmeinmind certainly is a Rebel entrant to keep in mind. As a maiden, he finished second in the Grade I Breeders’ Futurity last Oct. 3 and third in the Grade I Breeders’ Cup Juvenile on Nov. 6. Essential Quality won both races en route to being voted an Eclipse Award as champion 2-year-old male of 2020.In Keepmeinmind’s final 2020 start, he earned his maiden diploma by winning the Grade II Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes at Keeneland for trainer Robertino Diodoro.Baffert had hoped to run Hozier in an allowance race at Santa Anita. When that race didn’t fill, Baffert decided to have him join Concert Tour in the Rebel.Will Hozier be like Weyburn and Crowded Trade and finish first or second in a graded stakes race when running in that after an allowance race failed to fill?Hozier was unveiled at Santa Anita on Jan. 15. He finished fourth, 15 lengths behind Concert Tour. Hozier then showed dramatic improvement to win a 1 1/16-mile allowance race by 1 3/4 lengths at Santa Anita on Feb. 15.Hozier worked four furlongs in a bullet :47.40 last Saturday. It was the fastest of 58 works at that distance on Santa Anita’s main track that morning.LIFE IS GOOD NEW NO. 1 ON MY DERBY TOP 10Life Is Good moves into the top spot on my Kentucky Derby Top 10 this week following last Saturday’s 1 1/16-mile San Felipe Stakes at Santa Anita in which he won by a sizable margin and received a marvelous Beyer Speed Figure.My Kentucky Derby Top 10 for this week is below:1. Life Is Good2. Essential Quality3. Greatest Honour4. Caddo River5. Mandaloun6. Concert Tour7. Medina Spirit8. Hot Rod Charlie9. Keepmeinmind10. SpielbergAfter Life Is Good kicked off his racing career with a 9 1/2-length victory at Del Mar last Nov. 27, some wondered if he also would be able to win going farther.In his next start, Life Is Good did indeed succeed going farther. He won Santa Anita’s one-mile Sham Stakes by three-quarters of a length on Jan. 2. But the smaller margin of victory led some to wonder if going farther than one mile would prove to be a problem for the Kentucky-bred Into Mischief colt.Last Saturday, Life Is Good demonstrated that 1 1/16 miles is not even close to being a limit for him in terms of distance. Annihilating his foes in the 1 1/16-mile San Felipe Stakes, he won by eight lengths.“Life Is Good, breaking from the rail, used his natural speed to open a clear lead into the first turn, and his six rivals never had a chance,” Daily Racing Form’s Jay Privman wrote. “He drew clear through the lane while drifting out, yet still stopped the timer in 1:42.18 for 1 1/16 miles, a time that compares favorably with the 1:43.86 recorded by his older stablemate, Mastering, when winning an allowance race earlier on the card on the fast main track.”The fractions were :23.63, :46.83, 1:10.55 and 1:35.46. Secretariat.com’s Steve Haskin pointed out that even though Life Is Good “was on cruise control, he still went the three-quarters in 1:10 2/5, which was two full seconds than [older horses] ran in the Big ’Cap” on the same card. The six-furlong fraction in the 1 1/4-mile Santa Anita Handicap was 1:12.26.“What was noteworthy about this race was that he was setting quick fractions while seemingly doing it under control, not acting like a runaway freight train as in his debut or his similarly headstrong effort in the Sham,” Privman also wrote regarding Life Is Good’s San Felipe. “In the two months since the Sham, Life Is Good has been trained to not blast off.”Life Is Good and Hall of Fame jockey Mike Smith drifted all the way out to about the 10 path during the stretch run of the San Felipe. How dominant was Life Is Good? Smith speculated that if the colt had run straight, he might have won by 15.Nevertheless, any way you slice it, drifting out that much in the stretch is not a good thing. Smith attributed the drifting to Life Is Good seeing the big screen in the infield, which is not on when he trains in the morning. Life Is Good has never exhibited such behavior in the a.m. Jockey-turned-television broadcaster Richard Migliore said that if seeing the big screen was indeed responsible for Life Is Good drifting out, then why did he continue to drift out well after he had gone past the big screen?One person who does not seem concerned that Life Is Good didn’t run straight down the lane last Saturday is Baffert. Even before the race, according to Baffert, the supremely talented 3-year-old did not exactly act like a seasoned pro. While Life Is Good was on his way to the paddock, he balked at first when he saw a bunch of people.Baffert is quick to remind everyone that Authentic acted very greenly early on in his career. When Authentic won the Sham by 7 3/4 lengths, he ran such an erratic course down the lane that he nearly hit the inside rail at one point. But by the end of the year, Authentic had won the Grade I Kentucky Derby and Grade I Breeders’ Cup Classic. Not only was he voted an Eclipse Award as champion 3-year-old male, he was elected 2020 Horse of the Year.In Life Is Good’s first two stakes races, he has run quite a bit faster than Authentic did in the same two races.Authentic’s final time in the one-mile Sham was 1:37.57. Life Is Good completed the distance in 1:36.63.When Authentic won the San Felipe by 2 1/2 lengths, his final time for 1 1/16 miles was 1:43.56. Life Is Good stepped the distance in 1:42.18.Authentic received a 90 Beyer in the Sham, a 98 in the San Felipe.Life Is Good was credited with a 101 Beyer in the Sham, a 107 in the San Felipe. Those are the two-highest Beyers posted by a 3-year-old so far in 2021.Below are the eight-best Beyer Speed Figures recorded this year by a 3-year-old, male or female:Beyer Winner (Finish, Race, Track, Date)107 Life Is Good (won San Felipe at Santa Anita on March 6)101 Life Is Good (won Sham at Santa Anita on Jan. 2)99 Medina Spirit (2nd Sham at Santa Anita on Jan. 2)98 Mandaloun (won Risen Star at Fair Grounds on Feb. 13)97 Proxy (2nd Risen Star at Fair Grounds on Feb. 13)96 Dream Shake (won maiden race at Santa Anita on Feb. 7)96 Midnight Bourbon (3rd Risen Star at Fair Grounds on Feb. 13)96 Essential Quality (won Southwest at Oaklawn on Feb. 27)LIFE IS GOOD FAVORED AGAIN IN FUTURE WAGERIn Pool 1 of the 2021 Kentucky Derby Future Wager (KDFW), which closed on Nov. 29, Life Is Good was the 5-1 favorite among the 22 individual horses. Essential Quality was the second choice at 8-1.In Pool 2 of the KDFW, which closed on Jan. 24, Life Is Good was the 7-1 favorite among the 23 individual horses. Essential Quality again was the 8-1 second choice.In Pool 3 of the KDFW, which closed on Feb. 14, Life Is Good again was the 7-1 favorite and Essential Quality the 8-1 second choice among the 23 individual horses.In Pool 4 of the KDFW, which closed last Sunday, Life Is Good was hammered down to 2-1 favoritism after his lopsided San Felipe triumph. Essential Quality was the 5-1 second choice.Below are the final odds for Pool 4 of the 2021 KDFW:2-1 Life Is Good5-1 Essential Quality6-1 Greatest Honour7-1 “All Other 3-Year-Old Males”16-1 Caddo River17-1 Concert Tour17-1 Mandaloun29-1 Collaborate29-1 Prevalence30-1 Keepmeinmind36-1 Highly Motivated39-1 Medina Spirit41-1 Proxy42-1 Risk Taking52-1 Midnight Bourbon53-1 Hot Rod Charlie63-1 Spielberg71-1 Candy Man Rocket71-1 Dream Shake79-1 The Great One84-1 Freedom Fighter94-1 Roman Centurian109-1 Rombauer146-1 Hush of a StormTHIS WEEK’S NTRA POLLSIdol moved onto the Top 10 at No. 4 in this week’s NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll following his win in last Saturday’s Grade I Santa Anita Handicap. Next-to-last early in the field of seven, he rallied to prevail by a half-length at odds of 5-1. It was his first stakes victory. Joel Rosario rode the 4-year-old Kentucky-bred Curlin colt for trainer Richard Baltas.Baltas was emotional after the race in that he has an appreciation for the rich history of the Santa Anita Handicap, a race he has fond memories of witnessing as a teenager in the 1970s. He especially recalls watching Vigors, “The White Tornado,” storm to a come-from-behind win in the 1978 Big ’Cap.The Top 10 in this week’s NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll:Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)1. 370 Charlatan (24)2. 343 Monomoy Girl (14)3. 291 Knicks Go4. 175 Idol5. 150 Mystic Guide (1)6. 148 Swiss Skydiver7. 147 Maxfield8. 137 Colonel Liam9. 78 Gamine10. 51 Jesus’ TeamThe Top 10 in this week’s NTRA Top 3-Year-Old Poll:Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)1. 369 Essential Quality (20)2. 360 Life Is Good (17)3. 293 Greatest Honour (1)4. 240 Mandaloun (1)5. 174 Medina Spirit6. 158 Caddo River7. 123 Concert Tour8. 87 Keepmeinmind9. 72 Helium10. 65 Risk TakingMY DERBY STRIKES RETURN!After a one-year hiatus due to the COVID-19 pandemic, my Derby Strikes System is back in 2021.I developed my Derby Strikes System back in 1999. This system at that time consisted of nine categories. When a horse did not qualify in one of the nine categories, the horse received a strike.Various “rules” for the Kentucky Derby once were very popular. A “Derby rule” meant a horse needed to have done this or that, or not done this or that, in order to win the Run for the Roses. However, through the years, many of the “Derby rules” were broken. This caused their popularity to wane.I think what has distinguished my Derby Strikes System from any single “Derby rule” is the Derby Strikes System is considerably more comprehensive. The Derby Strikes System is an amalgamation of factors that attempts to ascertain the chances a horse has to win the Kentucky Derby from BOTH tactical and historical perspectives. It is the marriage of the TACTICAL with the HISTORICAL that might well make the strikes system better than a “Derby rule,” per se.A number of the categories in the Derby Strikes System are tied to a Kentucky Derby being run on the first Saturday in May. As a result, when the race last year was switched from May 2 to Sept. 5 due to COVID-19, it rendered the Derby Strikes System unworkable.But now that the Kentucky Derby is returning to the first Saturday in May, the Derby Strikes System likewise returns.DERBY STRIKES SYSTEM REVAMPED FOR 2021Because the Derby Strikes System, as it was originally constructed back in 1999, seemed to work well through the years, I resisted making any changes to it. One reason for my reluctance to tinker with it is what happened with the Dosage Index.“The Dosage Index is a mathematical figure used by breeders of Thoroughbred racehorses, and sometimes by bettors handicapping races, to quantify a horse’s ability, or inability, to negotiate the various distances at which horse races are run,” according to Wikipedia. “It is calculated based on an analysis of the horse’s pedigree.”I spent part of 1981 working as an editor/handicapper in the Los Angeles office of the Daily Racing Form. My “post position” in that office was not far from the desk of breeding expert Leon Rasmussen.The Dosage Index, again quoting from Wikipedia, “attracted little interest from the general public until 1981, when Daily Racing Form breeding columnist Leon Rasmussen published a new version of Dosage developed by an American scientist and horse owner, Steven A. Roman, Ph.D., in his analysis of the upcoming Kentucky Derby for that year. The new approach, which was more accessible to owners, breeders and handicappers was supported by solid statistical data, rapidly caught on, and the term ‘Dosage Index’ has been a fixture in the lexicon of horse racing ever since. The details of Dosage methodology have been summarized in Dr. Roman’s book entitled ‘Dosage: Pedigree & Performance’ published in 2002.”The Dosage Index is compiled by noting the presence of certain influential sires, known as chefs-de-race, in the first four generations of a horse’s pedigree. Based on what distances the progeny of the sires so designated excelled in during their racing careers, each chef-de-race is placed in one or two of the following categories, or aptitudinal groups: Brilliant, Intermediate, Classic, Solid or Professional.In the 1980s, a horse’s Dosage Index became a big deal in the lead-up to the Kentucky Derby. It needed to be 4.00 or lower. That’s because retroactive research conducted when the Dosage Index first become popular in 1981 revealed that no horse at that time having a Dosage Index higher than 4.00 had won the Kentucky Derby since 1929 (a year chosen because by then the number of available chefs-de-race on which to base the figures was thought to have reached a critical mass).But then the Dosage Index took a major hit in the credibility department in 1991. When Strike the Gold won the Kentucky Derby, his Dosage Index was 9.00. Alydar, who had not been standing at stud all that long, had not yet been accorded chef-de-race status by Dr. Roman. That was the primary reason Strike the Gold’s Dosage Index was so high at the time that he won the roses.If having a Kentucky Derby winner with a Dosage Index so much higher than 4.00 wasn’t bad enough, when Alydar subsequently -- and appropriately -- was made a chef-de-race, it significantly lowered Strike the Gold’s Dosage Index. Pedigreequery.com lists a horse’s Dosage Index in addition to his or her pedigree. If you go to that website, you will see that Strike the Gold’s Dosage Index (or DI) currently is listed as 2.60.Dosage critics howled that Strike the Gold’s Dosage Index was retroactively lowered from 9.00 to 2.60 in order to keep Dosage relevant vis-a-vis the Kentucky Derby.“Alydar was eventually designated a Classic chef-de-race because of the continuing success of h
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